Exporting the Future Economy: A Canadian Trade Diversification Strategy

December, 2025
By Bentley Allan, Dave Sawyer

Canada needs a trade diversification strategy that builds on our strengths in natural resources, midstream processing, and clean technology production, while positioning us to succeed in the future economy.

In their new report, Bentley Allan (VP Future Economy, The Transition Accelerator) and Dave Sawyer (Principal Economist, EnviroEconomics) argue that investing in clean energy supply chains is in itself a trade diversification strategy—and that boosting these investments can help address Canada’s economic, geopolitical, and climate imperatives all at once.

Exports in clean energy supply chains have grown 21% faster than all other exports over the past five years, and they’re growing faster with partners outside of the US. In other words, they are already diversifying our economy—and with a targeted industrial strategy, they could help Canada unlock a $600 billion annual export opportunity by 2035.

About the Author

Bentley Allan, PhD

Vice-President, Future Economy

Bentley Allan, PhD, is a Transition Pathway Principal and Vice-President, Future Economy at the Transition Accelerator, as well as an Associate Professor of Political Science at Johns Hopkins University. Dr. Allan is an award-winning scholar who has written on the dynamics of international order, science and politics, climate policy, and the political economy of decarbonization. He provides regular advice to government and industry on geopolitics, industrial strategy, and policy.

He has co-lead the development of three sector strategies and roadmaps in collaboration with industry partners. He is the co-coordinator of the Centre for Net-Zero Industrial Policy which advances research and action to strengthen and mobilize Canada’s expertise in modern industrial policy, enabling strategic collaboration between government, industry, indigenous communities, labor, and financial institutions in pursuit of good jobs and a competitive economy.

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Dave Sawyer

Principal Economist, EnviroEconomics

Dave Sawyer is a leading environmental economist with a 30-year track record in solving policy challenges for sustainable development in Canada and around the world. He has held positions with Environment Canada, Canada’s Commissioner of Environment and Sustainable Development and leading Canadian consultancies. He was Vice-President for Climate, Energy and Partnerships with the International Institute for Sustainable Development’s (IISD). He is currently a School Fellow at Carleton’s School of Public Policy and an Executive in Residence with the Smart Prosperity Institute at the University of Ottawa.

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Allan, B., Sawyer, D. (2025). Exporting the Future Economy: A Trade Diversification Strategy to Boost Canada’s Economic Security. The Transition Accelerator. Version 1.0